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Season X forecast

LFLGPT Prediction

Built on 40 completed Season X games, current lineup projections and roster construction — with results weighing more heavily each week.
Week 9

This Week's Predictions

LFLGPT pickDumpy Umbrella
Predicted final score
Dumpy UmbrellaBen Spicer123.7
Bell-o Darkness My Old FriendEric Peters120.9
Dumpy Umbrella by 2.854% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Dumpy Umbrella123.9
  • Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend122.6

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Dumpy Umbrella by 1.3.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringDumpy Umbrella is averaging 123.4 a week to Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend's 120.8.
  • Track recordDumpy Umbrella has scored more per game across their LFL career than Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend.
  • Projected lineupDumpy Umbrella projects at 123.9 against Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend at 122.6 — a 1.3-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Dumpy Umbrella over Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend in a game close enough that one big play decides it, on season scoring and track record.

LFLGPT pickDumb Blondes
Predicted final score
Dumb BlondesNikolas Steacker123.6
Spicey SauceLuke Spicer112.8
Dumb Blondes by 10.864% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Dumb Blondes129.9
  • Spicey Sauce109.9

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Dumb Blondes by 20.0.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Projected lineupDumb Blondes projects at 129.9 against Spicey Sauce at 109.9 — a 20-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • AvailabilitySpicey Sauce carries 1 starter with an injury designation; Dumb Blondes is clean.
  • Track recordDumb Blondes has scored more per game across their LFL career than Spicey Sauce.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Dumb Blondes over Spicey Sauce comfortably, by 10.8 points, on projected lineup and track record. Spicey Sauce carries 1 starter with an injury designation, which is part of the gap.

LFLGPT pickRun CMC
Predicted final score
Beats by RaySeamus Flanigan124.5
Run CMCRyan Orzeck131.5
Run CMC by 7.059% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Beats by Ray126.1
  • Run CMC130.4

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Run CMC by 4.3.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringRun CMC is averaging 132.2 a week to Beats by Ray's 123.9.
  • Projected lineupRun CMC projects at 130.4 against Beats by Ray at 126.1 — a 4.3-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
  • Draft valueRun CMC got more out of the Season X draft than the slots they picked from were going for, ahead of Beats by Ray.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Run CMC over Beats by Ray by 7 points, on season scoring and projected lineup. It is not a clean bill of health — Run CMC has 1 starter carrying a designation.

LFLGPT pickThe Thrashers
Predicted final score
The SkrtlesBrendan Dever123.2
The ThrashersGeorge Greeby130.4
The Thrashers by 7.259% to win
ESPN baseline
  • The Skrtles130.9
  • The Thrashers133.5

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours The Thrashers by 2.6.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringThe Thrashers is averaging 126.6 a week to The Skrtles's 119.6.
  • Track recordThe Thrashers has scored more per game across their LFL career than The Skrtles.
  • Projected lineupThe Thrashers projects at 133.5 against The Skrtles at 130.9 — a 2.6-point edge on ESPN's numbers.
Final call

LFLGPT takes The Thrashers over The Skrtles by 7.2 points, on season scoring and track record. The Skrtles carries 1 starter with an injury designation, which is part of the gap.

LFLGPT pickChief Keith
Predicted final score
Chief KeithKeith Paley Jr.129.2
Crab MeatEthan Spicer119.8
Chief Keith by 9.462% to win
ESPN baseline
  • Chief Keith128.5
  • Crab Meat128.2

ESPN's raw lineup projection favours Chief Keith by 0.3.

Why LFLGPT moved it
  • Season scoringChief Keith is averaging 131.4 a week to Crab Meat's 113.1.
  • Draft valueCrab Meat got more out of the Season X draft than the slots they picked from were going for, ahead of Chief Keith.
  • AvailabilityChief Keith carries 1 starter with an injury designation; Crab Meat is clean.
Final call

LFLGPT takes Chief Keith over Crab Meat comfortably, by 9.4 points, on season scoring and availability. It is not a clean bill of health — Chief Keith has 1 starter carrying a designation.

Season X

Season X Outlook

TeamProj. recordPer weekPlayoffsLarge Bowl
Chief KeithContender9.4–4.6129.299%29%
Run CMCContender8.5–5.5131.596%26%
Beats by Ray7.9–6.1124.588%13%
Dumpy Umbrella7.1–6.9123.771%9%
Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend6.9–7.1120.961%6%
Spicey Sauce6.8–7.2112.855%4%
Crab Meat6.5–7.5119.840%3%
The Skrtles5.9–8.1123.234%3%
Dumb Blondes5.9–8.1123.631%3%
The Thrashers5.2–8.8130.424%3%
Signals

What LFLGPT Is Watching

Biggest mismatch
Dumb Blondes

Forecast to beat Spicey Sauce by 10.8 — the week's widest gap.

Closest call
Dumpy Umbrella at Bell-o Darkness My Old Friend

Separated by 2.8 points — inside the noise.

Strongest roster
Run CMC

Highest weekly forecast in the league at 131.5 points.

Injury risk
Run CMC

1 starter carrying an injury designation this week.

Best value drafted
Run CMC

Beat the going rate at their own draft slots by more than anyone else.

Updated 4 minutes ago