Ten seasons, one model
League Analytics
Expected wins compare each weekly score with every opponent. The power rating updates after every official game; consolation and byes never count.
Season I to Season X
Rating History
● Ben Spicer● Brendan Dever● Eric Peters● Ethan Spicer● George Greeby● Keith Paley Jr.● Luke Spicer● Nikolas Steacker● Ryan Orzeck● Seamus Flanigan
All-play expectation
Expected Wins
1Seamus FlaniganMedian 68–62 · actual 72 wins69.12Ryan OrzeckMedian 74–43 · actual 74 wins68.83Nikolas SteackerMedian 65–65 · actual 66 wins65.94Keith Paley Jr.Median 65–65 · actual 69 wins65.85Luke SpicerMedian 69–61 · actual 70 wins65.86John McCoyMedian 58–64 · actual 58 wins57.67Ethan SpicerMedian 56–61 · actual 56 wins56.68Eric PetersMedian 54–63 · actual 53 wins54.39Brendan DeverMedian 47–56 · actual 51 wins51.710George GreebyMedian 34–29 · actual 29 wins34.211Gabe GioveneMedian 28–41 · actual 27 wins29.212Luke PryorMedian 16–10 · actual 11 wins13.913Will JuddMedian 9–4 · actual 8 wins7.914Mike CampelloneMedian 7–6 · actual 7 wins7.115Pat FischettiMedian 5–9 · actual 7 wins5.616Connor FennellMedian 5–8 · actual 4 wins5.217Nick PaleyMedian 4–9 · actual 3 wins4.418Ben SpicerMedian 4–4 · actual 4 wins4.119Dan JurgelewiczMedian 3–10 · actual 1 wins3.2
Continuous rating
LFL Power Rating
1Ryan OrzeckElo-style · starts at 150015872Keith Paley Jr.Elo-style · starts at 150015843Luke SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015644Seamus FlaniganElo-style · starts at 150015575Ethan SpicerElo-style · starts at 150015576Will JuddElo-style · starts at 150015347Mike CampelloneElo-style · starts at 150015178George GreebyElo-style · starts at 150015069Ben SpicerElo-style · starts at 1500150410Eric PetersElo-style · starts at 1500150211Pat FischettiElo-style · starts at 1500149812Luke PryorElo-style · starts at 1500148313Nikolas SteackerElo-style · starts at 1500147514Brendan DeverElo-style · starts at 1500147215John McCoyElo-style · starts at 1500145616Connor FennellElo-style · starts at 1500145017Gabe GioveneElo-style · starts at 1500144218Nick PaleyElo-style · starts at 1500144119Dan JurgelewiczElo-style · starts at 15001388